How we earn conviction.
Four rules, applied without exception. They cost us speed. They buy us accuracy.
First principles, primary sources
We read the filings, the code and the data before we read the takes. If a thesis can't survive the source material, it doesn't ship.
Asymmetry over consensus
We look for what the market has not priced yet, and we say so plainly when it already has. Being early and right matters more than being different.
Survive long enough to be right
Sizing, drawdown discipline and time horizon decide who lasts. Every thesis ships with its kill condition, written before the position is taken.
Independence, absolute
We sell research and nothing else. No investment banking, no market making, no sponsored coverage. Our only incentive is to be right.